Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000700 0.000801 0.000908 0.001029 0.001164 0.001307 0.001470
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000543 0.000683 0.000842 0.001035 0.001261 0.001516 0.001823
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000445 0.000598 0.000780 0.001011 0.001291 0.001619 0.002026
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000368 0.000526 0.000722 0.000981 0.001306 0.001699 0.002200
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000319 0.000482 0.000692 0.000978 0.001349 0.001807 0.002406
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000280 0.000445 0.000667 0.000976 0.001389 0.001910 0.002606
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000244 0.000408 0.000636 0.000964 0.001412 0.001990 0.002775
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000211 0.000372 0.000603 0.000945 0.001423 0.002052 0.002920
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000195 0.000358 0.000599 0.000965 0.001487 0.002184 0.003160
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000179 0.000343 0.000594 0.000982 0.001545 0.002307 0.003390
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000158 0.000317 0.000567 0.000965 0.001554 0.002365 0.003532
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000138 0.000291 0.000540 0.000945 0.001557 0.002413 0.003660
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000125 0.000276 0.000528 0.000948 0.001594 0.002510 0.003861
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000114 0.000264 0.000521 0.000958 0.001642 0.002624 0.004087
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000099 0.000241 0.000493 0.000934 0.001636 0.002659 0.004202
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000085 0.000219 0.000465 0.000906 0.001622 0.002682 0.004300
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000206 0.000453 0.000903 0.001647 0.002761 0.004480
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000195 0.000442 0.000902 0.001673 0.002843 0.004664
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000182 0.000425 0.000890 0.001683 0.002898 0.004810
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000167 0.000406 0.000872 0.001680 0.002935 0.004928
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000164 0.000408 0.000891 0.001739 0.003068 0.005192
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000160 0.000408 0.000907 0.001792 0.003191 0.005444
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000148 0.000391 0.000891 0.001792 0.003232 0.005571